2024 Election

CNN Polling Expert Says Trump ‘Careening Towards A Historic Performance’ Among Black Voters

President Joe Biden is plummeting in the polls among black voters while support for former President Donald Trump is climbing, according to analysis by CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten.

Enten said on the network on Monday morning that the most recent polling data compared to polls at the same point of the 2020 campaign show Trump “careening towards a historic performance” among black voters. The presumptive Republican nominee is up 14 points — from 7% support from black voters at this point in 2020 to 21% now, according to CNN’s data. Meanwhile, Biden has fallen 16 points, sitting at 70% among black voters now compared to 86% at this point in 2020.

“I keep looking for signs that this is going to go back to normal, and I don’t see it yet in the polling,” Enten said. “If anything right now, we’re careening towards a historic performance for a Republican presidential candidate the likes of which we have not seen in six decades.”

Enten added that polls show Biden shedding most of his support with black voters among those under 50 years old. According to the CNN reporter’s analysis, Biden still has a 37-point advantage over Trump among black voters under 50, but that is down 43 points from his 80-point lead among the same demographic at this point of the 2020 campaign.

“I’ve just never seen anything like this. I’m like speechless,” Enten said of the findings. “Because you always look at history and you go, ‘okay, this is a historic moment.’ If this polling is anywhere near correct, we are looking at a historic moment right now where black voters under the age of 50, which have historically been such a big part of the Democratic coalition, are leaving in droves.”

Among black voters over 50, Biden’s support is down from +83 over Trump in 2020 to +74 over Trump now.

Trump looked to solidify more support from black voters over the weekend as he took part in a roundtable discussion with community and religious leaders in Detroit. During the roundtable, which took place at 180 Church, Trump listened to the communities’ frustrations and concerns with the Biden administration, and a pastor thanked the Republican candidate for visiting the Motor City, saying President Joe Biden and former President Barack Obama “never came to the hood.”

During the roundtable event, the Trump campaign also launched its black voter coalition as the former president was joined by black political leaders, including former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Dr. Ben Carson, Rep. John James (R-MI), and Rep. Byron Donalds (R-FL).


“Historic rates of Black voters now support President Trump, and the reason is simple: Black voters know that President Trump is the only presidential candidate who can deliver results on day one because he already has,” the Trump campaign said.

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